The Under is drawing sharp money in what’s expected to be a rainy game between two 8-4 teams.
TL;DR – Today’s Betting Splits Breakdown
The Under in the Colts-Jaguars game is showing a strong smart money signal, with 76% of the handle on the Under despite only 44% of tickets. The spread and moneyline markets are showing balanced action, suggesting a close, competitive game.
Game Snapshot
The Indianapolis Colts (8-4) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4) on Sunday, December 7, 2025, at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL. Kickoff is at 1:00 PM EST. Moderate rain is expected.
Today’s Sharpest Betting Signals
- Total: The Under is drawing sharp money, with a significant handle percentage despite a minority of tickets. This suggests professional bettors are leaning towards a lower-scoring game.
Spread – Snapshot & Signals
Spread: Colts -1.5 (-115) / Jaguars +1.5 (-105)
Ticket Split: 55% on Colts, 45% on Jaguars
Handle Split: 57% on Colts, 43% on Jaguars
Smart Money Lean: None
Fade the Public: No
Moneyline – Snapshot & Signals
Moneyline: Colts -130 / Jaguars +110
Ticket Split: 54% on Colts, 46% on Jaguars
Handle Split: 48% on Colts, 52% on Jaguars
Smart Money Lean: None
Fade the Public: No
Total – Snapshot & Signals
Total: Over 46.5 (-105) / Under 46.5 (-115)
Ticket Split: 56% on Over, 44% on Under
Handle Split: 24% on Over, 76% on Under
Smart Money Lean: Under
Fade the Public: Yes
Signal Strength: Strong
Spread Opportunity Analysis
The spread market is showing balanced action, with both tickets and handle relatively split. This suggests the current line of Colts -1.5 is efficiently priced, and there isn’t a strong edge based on betting splits alone. Bettors should rely on their own projections and analysis of the matchup to determine if there’s value on either side.
Moneyline Opportunity Analysis
Similar to the spread, the moneyline market is showing relatively balanced action. While the handle slightly favors the Jaguars, the ticket split leans towards the Colts. This indicates a lack of strong conviction from either the public or sharp bettors, suggesting the moneyline prices are fair. Bettors should focus on the matchup and potential game script to find an edge.
Total Opportunity Analysis
The total market presents a clearer opportunity. The Under is drawing a significant handle percentage (76%) despite a minority of tickets (44%). This indicates a strong smart money lean on the Under. The large handle discrepancy suggests that sharper bettors are anticipating a lower-scoring game, making the Under an attractive option at the current price of -115.
Betting Splits Strategy Summary
The Under in the Colts-Jaguars game stands out as the most compelling opportunity based on betting splits. The significant handle discrepancy suggests a smart money lean on the Under, making it a potentially valuable play. While the spread and moneyline markets appear balanced, the Under presents a contrarian angle worth considering, especially given the expected rainy conditions. Remember that betting splits are just one factor in a comprehensive handicapping process. Always combine these signals with your own research and analysis to make informed betting decisions.
