The total market shows a possible smart money signal favoring the Under, while the spread and moneyline see balanced action.
TL;DR – Today’s Betting Splits Breakdown
The Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars matchup presents a mixed bag of betting signals. The strongest signal comes from the total market, where the Under is drawing a significant handle percentage despite a smaller percentage of tickets, suggesting a potential smart money lean. The spread and moneyline markets show more balanced action, with no clear edge based on current splits data.
Game Snapshot
The Indianapolis Colts (8-4) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4) at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL, on Sunday, December 7, 2025. Kickoff is at 6:00 PM EST. The weather forecast predicts mist, high humidity, and light winds. The Colts are favored by 1.5 points, and the game’s total is set at 46.5.
Today’s Sharpest Betting Signals
- Total: The Under is drawing 82% of the handle with only 48% of the tickets, indicating a strong smart money lean.
Spread – Snapshot & Signals
- Spread: Colts -1.5
- Ticket Split: 53% on Colts
- Handle Split: 57% on Colts
- Signal: No strong signal. The ticket and handle percentages are relatively aligned, suggesting balanced public and sharp interest.
Moneyline – Snapshot & Signals
- Moneyline: Colts -130
- Ticket Split: 53% on Colts
- Handle Split: 50% on Colts
- Signal: No strong signal. The ticket and handle percentages are closely aligned, indicating a lack of strong conviction on either side.
Total – Snapshot & Signals
- Total: 46.5
- Ticket Split: 52% on the Over
- Handle Split: 82% on the Under
- Signal: Smart Money Lean on the Under. The significant disparity between handle and ticket percentages suggests that larger, potentially sharper bets are backing the Under.
Spread Opportunity Analysis
The spread market shows balanced action, with neither side drawing a disproportionate amount of handle or tickets. This suggests that the current line of Colts -1.5 is efficiently priced, and there is no clear splits-based edge. Bettors should rely on their own fundamental analysis to determine if there is value on either side.
Moneyline Opportunity Analysis
Similar to the spread, the moneyline market displays balanced action, with ticket and handle percentages closely aligned. This indicates that the current moneyline prices are fairly priced, and there is no significant splits-based edge. Bettors should base their decisions on independent analysis of the teams and matchup.
Total Opportunity Analysis
The total market presents a more compelling opportunity. The Under is drawing a significant 82% of the handle with only 48% of the tickets. This suggests that larger, potentially sharper bettors are backing the Under, creating a potential smart money situation. If you’re looking to get involved in this game, the Under profiles as the cleaner angle at current prices.
Betting Splits Strategy Summary
When using betting splits, it’s important to look for discrepancies between ticket and handle percentages, as these can indicate smart money activity. In the Colts-Jaguars game, the total market presents the strongest signal, with a smart money lean on the Under. The spread and moneyline markets show more balanced action, suggesting that these lines are efficiently priced. Remember that betting splits are just one factor to consider when making your betting decisions, and it’s important to combine them with your own analysis and risk tolerance.
