The Seahawks are road favorites against the Falcons, and the betting splits suggest a possible contrarian opportunity on the Atlanta spread and moneyline. Sharp money is also leaning towards the Under.
TL;DR – Today’s Betting Splits Breakdown
The Seattle Seahawks are 6.5-point road favorites against the Atlanta Falcons. Betting splits indicate a potential contrarian play on the Falcons spread, as the public is heavily backing the Seahawks. There’s also a potential smart money lean on the Under, with a high handle percentage despite a lower ticket percentage. The Falcons’ moneyline is also seeing sharp action.
Game Snapshot
The Seattle Seahawks (9-3) visit the Atlanta Falcons (4-8) on Sunday, December 7, 2025, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is at 1:00 PM EST. The Seahawks are currently favored by 6.5 points, and the total is set at 44.5. Foggy conditions are expected.
Today’s Sharpest Betting Signals
- Spread: Sharp money is on the Atlanta Falcons +6.5, as they are receiving a disproportionately high handle percentage relative to their ticket percentage.
- Moneyline: Sharp money is also on the Atlanta Falcons moneyline, further solidifying the contrarian angle.
- Total: The Under 44.5 is attracting sharp money, with a significant handle percentage despite a lower ticket percentage.
Spread – Snapshot & Signals
- Spread: Seahawks -6.5 (-115) / Falcons +6.5 (-105)
- Ticket Percentage: 76% on Seahawks, 24% on Falcons
- Handle Percentage: 28% on Seahawks, 72% on Falcons
- Public Side: Seahawks
- Smart Money Lean: Falcons
- Fade the Public: Yes
Moneyline – Snapshot & Signals
- Moneyline: Seahawks -340 / Falcons +270
- Ticket Percentage: 92% on Seahawks, 8% on Falcons
- Handle Percentage: 73% on Seahawks, 27% on Falcons
- Public Side: Seahawks
- Smart Money Lean: Falcons
- Fade the Public: Yes
Total – Snapshot & Signals
- Total: Over 44.5 (-112) / Under 44.5 (-108)
- Ticket Percentage: 58% on Over, 42% on Under
- Handle Percentage: 19% on Over, 81% on Under
- Public Side: Over
- Smart Money Lean: Under
- Fade the Public: Yes
Spread Opportunity Analysis
The spread market indicates a strong contrarian opportunity on the Atlanta Falcons +6.5. With the vast majority of tickets on the Seahawks, the significant handle percentage on the Falcons suggests sharp money is backing the home underdog. This profiles as a solid “fade the public” spot, as the public is heavily biased towards the Seahawks.
Moneyline Opportunity Analysis
Similar to the spread, the moneyline also presents a contrarian opportunity on the Atlanta Falcons. Despite receiving only a small percentage of tickets, the Falcons are attracting a notable portion of the handle. This divergence suggests that sharp bettors are taking a shot on the Falcons to win outright at +270 odds, making it an intriguing low-probability, high-reward play.
Total Opportunity Analysis
The total market shows a potential smart money lean on the Under 44.5. While the majority of tickets are on the Over, the Under is commanding a significant handle percentage. This suggests that larger, potentially sharper bets are driving the money towards the Under, indicating a possible value in fading the public’s expectation of a high-scoring game.
Betting Splits Strategy Summary
The betting splits for the Seahawks-Falcons game highlight a few potential opportunities. The strongest signal is on the Atlanta Falcons +6.5 and moneyline, where a significant handle percentage is going against the heavy public ticket count on the Seahawks. Additionally, the Under 44.5 is showing signs of sharp money. As always, remember that betting splits are just one factor in a comprehensive handicapping process. Consider these signals alongside your own analysis of the matchup, injuries, and other relevant factors. Practice responsible bankroll management and remember that even the sharpest edges can still lose.
