The public is heavily backing the Rams to cover on the road against the Cardinals, but sharp money is showing up on the Arizona moneyline. Is this a classic fade-the-public spot?
TL;DR – Today’s Betting Splits Breakdown
The Los Angeles Rams are drawing heavy public support as road favorites against the Arizona Cardinals. However, the Cardinals’ moneyline is attracting sharp money, presenting a potential contrarian opportunity. The total market shows a slight lean towards the Over, but the splits aren’t strong enough to suggest a clear edge.
Game Snapshot
The Los Angeles Rams (9-3) travel to State Farm Stadium to face the Arizona Cardinals (3-9) on Sunday, December 7, 2025, at 9:25 PM EST. The Rams are currently favored by 8.5 points, with the moneyline at -455. The game total is set at 47.5. Weather conditions in Glendale, AZ are expected to be sunny with a temperature of 69.8°F.
Today’s Sharpest Betting Signals
- Moneyline: Sharp money is on the Cardinals’ moneyline (+350), despite the heavy public backing of the Rams. This divergence suggests a potential contrarian opportunity.
- Spread: The public is strongly backing the Rams (-8.5), but the lack of corresponding line movement raises questions about the strength of that support.
Spread – Snapshot & Signals
- Spread: Rams -8.5 (-108)
- Ticket Percentage: 74% on the Rams
- Handle Percentage: 81% on the Rams
- Public Side: Rams
- Smart Money Lean: No significant smart money lean.
- Fade the Public: Yes, on the Rams.
Moneyline – Snapshot & Signals
- Moneyline: Rams -455, Cardinals +350
- Ticket Percentage: 96% on the Rams
- Handle Percentage: 76% on the Rams
- Public Side: Rams
- Smart Money Lean: Cardinals
- Fade the Public: Yes, on the Rams.
Total – Snapshot & Signals
- Total: 47.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
- Ticket Percentage: 64% on the Over
- Handle Percentage: 68% on the Over
- Public Side: Over
- Smart Money Lean: No significant smart money lean.
- Fade the Public: No.
Spread Opportunity Analysis
The Rams are a significant road favorite, drawing the majority of spread bets and handle. However, the line has remained relatively stable, suggesting that the sharp money isn’t necessarily aligned with the public. This could indicate an inflated number on the Rams, making the Cardinals +8.5 a potential contrarian play if you believe they can keep the game within a touchdown and a field goal.
Moneyline Opportunity Analysis
The Cardinals’ moneyline presents the most intriguing opportunity, as it is attracting sharp money despite minimal public support. At +350, the Cardinals offer a potentially high-value payout if they can pull off the upset. This could be a spot to consider a small, disciplined wager on the Cardinals’ moneyline as a contrarian play.
Total Opportunity Analysis
The total market is seeing a slight lean towards the Over, with both tickets and handle favoring that side. However, the splits aren’t strong enough to suggest a clear edge. Bettors should rely more on their own projections and analysis of the teams’ offensive and defensive capabilities when approaching the total in this game.
Betting Splits Strategy Summary
The key takeaway from the betting splits is the divergence between public and sharp money on the Cardinals’ moneyline. While the Rams are a strong favorite and drawing heavy public action, the Cardinals’ moneyline is attracting smart money, signaling potential value in a contrarian play. The spread market suggests a possible public overreaction to the Rams, while the total market appears relatively balanced. Remember to combine these signals with your own handicap and practice responsible bankroll management.
