Broncos-Raiders: Public Loading Up on Denver

Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 30, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Geno Smith (7) drops back to pass against the Los Angeles Chargers during the first half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images
3 minutes

The Broncos are heavy favorites against the Raiders, and the betting splits show the public is all over Denver. Is there value fading the crowd?

TL;DR – Today’s Betting Splits Breakdown

The public is heavily backing the Broncos on the moneyline and spread, while the total is seeing balanced action. The spread presents a potential opportunity to fade the public, as the Broncos are drawing a large majority of bets and handle.

Game Snapshot

The Denver Broncos (10-2) visit the Las Vegas Raiders (2-10) on Sunday, December 7, 2025, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The game is scheduled for 4:05 PM EST. The weather forecast predicts sunny conditions with a temperature of 63°F.

Today’s Sharpest Betting Signals

  1. Spread: The Broncos are getting 77% of bets and 63% of the handle as 7.5-point favorites, signaling a potential fade the public opportunity.
  2. Moneyline: The Broncos are drawing 96% of bets and 85% of the handle, suggesting heavy public bias.

Spread – Snapshot & Signals

  • Current Spread: Broncos -7.5 (-108)
  • Ticket Percentage: 77% on Broncos
  • Handle Percentage: 63% on Broncos
  • Signal: Fade the Public

Moneyline – Snapshot & Signals

  • Current Moneyline: Broncos -425
  • Ticket Percentage: 96% on Broncos
  • Handle Percentage: 85% on Broncos
  • Signal: Heavy Public Action on Broncos

Total – Snapshot & Signals

  • Current Total: 40.5
  • Ticket Percentage: 54% on the Over
  • Handle Percentage: 53% on the Over
  • Signal: No strong signal. Balanced action on both sides.

Spread Opportunity Analysis

With the Broncos getting 77% of tickets and 63% of the handle as 7.5-point favorites, this profiles as a classic fade-the-public scenario. The public is heavily backing a strong team against a weak opponent, potentially inflating the line. Consider the Raiders +7.5 as a contrarian play.

Moneyline Opportunity Analysis

The Broncos moneyline is seeing overwhelming public support, with 96% of tickets and 85% of the handle. This creates a potential opportunity to fade the public by considering the Raiders moneyline at +330, especially if you believe the Broncos are overvalued.

Total Opportunity Analysis

The total market shows balanced action, with a slight lean towards the Over. There isn’t a clear opportunity based on betting splits alone. Bettors should rely more on their own projections and analysis of the game’s likely pace and scoring.

Betting Splits Strategy Summary

The spread and moneyline in the Broncos-Raiders game present potential fade-the-public opportunities. The Broncos are a strong team getting heavy public backing, which could inflate their line. Contrarian bettors might consider the Raiders +7.5 or the Raiders moneyline. As always, remember that betting splits are just one factor to consider, and a disciplined approach is crucial for long-term success.