Bengals-Bills Betting Splits: Sharps Backing Cincinnati on the Moneyline

Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 15, 2024; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) calls out the play against the Tennessee Titans during the second half at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-Imagn Images
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The Bengals are getting most of the handle on the moneyline despite only a minority of tickets, while the total sees public action on the over.

TL:DR – Today’s Betting Splits Breakdown

The Cincinnati Bengals are drawing sharp money on the moneyline against the Buffalo Bills, with 71% of the handle on just 35% of the tickets. The spread is also seeing sharp action on the Bengals. The total is seeing heavy public action on the over.

Game Snapshot

The Cincinnati Bengals (4-8) visit the Buffalo Bills (8-4) on Sunday, December 7, 2025 at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. Kickoff is at 6:00 PM EST. The Bills are currently favored by 5.5 points, and the over/under is set at 53.5.

Today’s Sharpest Betting Signals

  1. Moneyline: The Cincinnati Bengals are drawing sharp money, with 71% of the handle on only 35% of the tickets.
  2. Spread: The Cincinnati Bengals are drawing sharp money, with 78% of the handle on only 63% of the tickets.

Spread – Snapshot & Signals

  • Spread: Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-120) vs Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 (+100)
  • Ticket Split: 37% on the Bills, 63% on the Bengals
  • Handle Split: 22% on the Bills, 78% on the Bengals
  • Smart Money Lean: Cincinnati Bengals

Moneyline – Snapshot & Signals

  • Moneyline: Buffalo Bills (-270) vs Cincinnati Bengals (+220)
  • Ticket Split: 65% on the Bills, 35% on the Bengals
  • Handle Split: 29% on the Bills, 71% on the Bengals
  • Smart Money Lean: Cincinnati Bengals

Total – Snapshot & Signals

  • Total: Over/Under 53.5
  • Ticket Split: 66% on the Over, 34% on the Under
  • Handle Split: 73% on the Over, 27% on the Under
  • Smart Money Lean: No strong signal

Spread Opportunity Analysis

The Cincinnati Bengals are attracting sharp money on the spread, indicating potential value at +5.5 (+100). With a significant handle percentage despite a minority of tickets, the Bengals could be an attractive option for contrarian bettors. Monitor for line movement, as a shift towards the Bengals would further validate this signal.

Moneyline Opportunity Analysis

The Cincinnati Bengals’ moneyline (+220) presents a compelling opportunity. The handle percentage far exceeds the ticket percentage, suggesting that larger, potentially sharper, bets are backing the Bengals to win outright. This contrarian play could pay off if Cincinnati outperforms expectations. Keep an eye on the odds, as any further movement towards the Bengals would strengthen this signal.

Total Opportunity Analysis

The total is seeing heavy public action on the over. With no strong smart money signals, this market profiles as a stay-away. Bettors should rely on their own projections and handicapping for this market.

Betting Splits Strategy Summary

This week’s splits highlight potential value in backing the Cincinnati Bengals. The moneyline and spread are both seeing sharp money come in on the Bengals. Monitor the total, but without strong signals, rely on your own handicapping for that market. Remember that betting splits are just one tool, and should be combined with your own research and risk tolerance.